The AI Trade is Back

Written by Ralph Sun

How Agentic AI and Tokenomics are Forging a Path to Profitability

The narrative surrounding artificial intelligence has shifted dramatically over the past few years. Following the initial euphoria sparked by generative AI chatbots, the market entered a period of intense scrutiny. Investors began questioning the massive capital expenditures (capex) required to build AI infrastructure, wondering when—or if—these investments would yield sustainable returns. However, a new paradigm is emerging, signaling that the “AI trade” is back. This resurgence is not driven by simple chatbots, but by a fundamental shift toward agentic AI and a new economic model centered around token monetization.

At the heart of this transformation is the realization that AI is transitioning from a retrieval-based system to a generative, action-oriented platform. As NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang recently declared, tools like OpenClaw represent “definitely the next ChatGPT,” marking a foundational leap in how we interact with and monetize artificial intelligence .

The Capex Conundrum and the Excess Capacity Problem

The AI industry has been locked in an infrastructure arms race. Major tech companies have poured hundreds of billions of dollars into building massive data centers powered by advanced GPUs to train and run large language models (LLMs). This unprecedented spending led to growing concerns about an “AI bubble.” The core issue was a mismatch between the cost of building the infrastructure and the revenue generated by the applications running on it.

While pretraining models is a massive, one-time expense, the ongoing cost lies in inference—the process of running data through a model to generate an output. Every prompt generates tokens, and every token incurs a computational cost . As models became more efficient and inference costs dropped—driven by innovations like DeepSeek’s highly efficient architecture—a new problem emerged: excess token capacity.

Infrastructure providers found themselves capable of generating billions of tokens per second, but the demand from simple conversational chatbots was insufficient to consume this capacity profitably. The industry needed applications that were significantly more compute-intensive to justify the infrastructure investments and turn excess capacity into revenue.

Enter Agentic AI: The Compute-Intensive Savior

The solution to the excess capacity problem has arrived in the form of agentic AI. Unlike traditional chatbots that simply answer questions, autonomous AI agents are designed to take action. They can execute complex, multi-step workflows, interact with various software applications, and operate continuously in the background.

OpenClaw, an open-source autonomous AI agent platform, has emerged as the poster child for this new era. Achieving in weeks what Linux took decades to accomplish, OpenClaw has been described by Jensen Huang as the “operating system for personal AI” . These agents can manage calendars, send emails, interact with enterprise software, and perform tasks that require sustained reasoning and multiple API calls.

This shift is crucial for the economics of AI because agentic workflows are inherently token-hungry. A single complex task executed by an AI agent might require generating thousands or even millions of tokens as the agent reasons through the problem, queries databases, and interacts with different systems.

FeatureConversational AI (Chatbots)Agentic AI (e.g., OpenClaw)
Primary FunctionAnswering queries, generating textExecuting tasks, autonomous workflows
Interaction ModelSingle prompt, single responseMulti-step reasoning, continuous operation
Token ConsumptionLow to ModerateExtremely High
Revenue PotentialLimited by user interaction timeScalable based on continuous background execution

By dramatically increasing the demand for inference compute, agentic AI provides the necessary mechanism to consume the excess token capacity generated by modern AI factories.

Tokenomics: The New Currency of the AI Era

With the rise of agentic AI, the industry is embracing a new economic framework: Tokenomics. In this model, tokens are no longer just a technical metric; they are the fundamental unit of value and the new commodity of the tech industry.

“Tokens are the new commodity,” Huang stated during the NVIDIA GTC 2026 conference. He emphasized that if companies “could just get more capacity, they could generate more tokens, their revenues would go up” .

This token-based monetization strategy offers a clear path to scalable returns on AI capital expenditure. The economics work through tiered pricing models. While basic access might be free or low-cost, enterprise-grade agentic workflows that consume vast amounts of tokens can be monetized effectively.

According to analysis presented at GTC 2026, using advanced infrastructure like NVIDIA’s Vera Rubin, a company could potentially generate up to $150 billion in revenues per 1 gigawatt data center, which costs approximately $100 billion to build . This math provides the ROI justification that investors have been seeking, transforming AI infrastructure from a cost center into a highly profitable revenue engine.

Furthermore, tokens are becoming a tangible asset in the corporate world. Huang envisioned a future where engineers are allocated an “annual token budget” to amplify their productivity, effectively making tokens a form of currency for corporate budgeting and recruitment .

The Enterprise Adoption of Agentic Frameworks

For this new economic model to succeed, agentic AI must be adopted at the enterprise level. This requires robust security, privacy, and management frameworks. Recognizing this need, NVIDIA introduced NemoClaw, an enterprise-grade stack built on top of the OpenClaw platform .

NemoClaw addresses the critical barriers to enterprise adoption by providing isolated sandboxes, policy-based security, and network guardrails. It allows companies to run autonomous agents securely, utilizing both local open-source models (like NVIDIA Nemotron) and cloud-based frontier models .

“Every company in the world today needs to have an OpenClaw strategy, an agentic systems strategy,” Huang urged CEOs . The push toward “Agentic-as-a-Service” (AaaS) is expected to transform the traditional SaaS model, as software increasingly becomes autonomous and action-oriented .

Market Reaction: The AI Trade Revitalized

The market’s response to this strategic pivot has been swift and decisive. The validation of OpenClaw and the clear articulation of the token revenue model have reignited the AI trade.

Following NVIDIA’s endorsement of OpenClaw as “the next ChatGPT,” Chinese AI stocks experienced significant surges. Companies linked to AI agent development, such as MiniMax and Zhipu, saw their shares jump by up to 14% and 11%, respectively, reflecting renewed investor optimism in the agentic AI sector .

NVIDIA’s own projections underscore the massive scale of this opportunity. The company expects to generate more than $1 trillion in revenues from its Blackwell and Rubin architectures between 2025 and 2027, driven largely by the demand for full-stack AI infrastructure capable of supporting agentic reasoning .

Conclusion

The AI trade is undeniably back, but it has evolved. The focus has shifted from the novelty of generative text to the utility of autonomous action. Agentic AI platforms like OpenClaw are solving the industry’s excess capacity problem by driving massive demand for inference compute. Coupled with a robust tokenomics model, this transition provides a clear, scalable path to profitability for AI companies. As enterprises scramble to develop their agentic strategies, the infrastructure providers that can deliver the most tokens per watt will emerge as the dominant forces in the next era of computing.

Finance
Ralph Sun

Ralph Sun

Ralph Sun is a media executive with a diverse background spanning technology, finance, and media. He is currently the CEO of OT Inc. and a Managing Partner at Oracle Capital Inc., a spin-off of Oracle Transmissions that invests in assets positioned for durability and longevity. His experience includes roles such as Communications Consultant at SCRT Labs, Public Relations Manager at IoTeX, and Advisor at Bitget. He has also worked as a Financial Writer for The Motley Fool and a Biotech Contributor for Seeking Alpha.